Beginner

Understanding Betting Odds

Odds are simply a price tag for probability. If you don't understand the price you're paying, you can't win long-term.

Betting odds tell you two things: how much you can win and how likely the outcome is (according to the sportsbook).

The Three Major Formats

American
+150 / -200

Standard in North America. Based on $100.

Decimal
2.50

Global standard. Total return multiplier.

Fractional
3/2

Traditional UK. Profit ratio.

1. American Odds (+/-)

This format centers around the number $100.

  • Negative (-): How much you must bet to win $100.
    Example: -110 means bet $110 to win $100.
  • Positive (+): How much you win if you bet $100.
    Example: +150 means bet $100 to win $150.

2. Implied Probability

Every set of odds can be converted into a percentage. This is called "Implied Probability." If you believe a team has a 60% chance to win, but the odds imply a 50% chance, that is a Value Bet.

AmericanDecimalImplied ProbMeaning
-2001.5066.7%Heavy Favorite
-1101.9152.4%Standard Line
+1002.0050.0%Even Money
+2003.0033.3%Underdog

Pro Tip: Removing the Vig

Notice that -110 implies 52.4%. If you bet both sides of a game at -110, the total probability is 104.8%. That extra 4.8% is the sportsbook's fee (the juice). To break even long term, you must win 52.4% of your bets, not 50%.